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Carlos Alcaraz vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Alcaraz vs Carreno-Busta analysis and find out who is favored!
Carlos Alcaraz vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Important H2H Prediction Stats:
Head-to-head: Alcaraz 2 - 0 Carreno-Busta
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Alcaraz has won 59.07% of points on their second serve, while Carreno-Busta has won 32.65%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Alcaraz, in recent form, has won 59.25% of their opponent's second serve points, while Carreno-Busta has won 50%. The same stats for first serve returns are 37.07% and 35.06% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Alcaraz has saved 62.62% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Carreno-Busta has saved 50% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Alcaraz has won 80% of matches played (W/L 56/ 14), with Carreno-Busta winning 25% (W/L 1/ 3) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Alcaraz has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 16/ 2), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 57% (W/L 13/ 10). Carreno-Busta has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 67% (W/L 339/ 169), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 32% (W/L 6/ 13).
- Player level: In the last year, Alcaraz has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 76.92% of matches (W/L 20/ 6), where as Carreno-Busta has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 33.33% of matches (W/L 1/ 2). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Alcaraz winning 2 times and Carreno-Busta being victorious 0 times. They have played 4 sets in total, with Alcaraz winning 4 and Carreno-Busta winning 0. The last match between Alcaraz and Carreno-Busta was at the Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel, 28-10-2022, Quarterfinals, I.hard with Carlos Alcaraz getting the victory 6-3 6-4.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:22:36.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Alcaraz and Carreno-Busta have played a deciding set 0 times, with Alcaraz winning 0 times and Carreno-Busta 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Alcaraz winning 0, and Carreno-Busta 0.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Alcaraz has played against opponents with an average rank of 93.51 while Carreno-Busta has played against players with an average rank of 389.5.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Alcaraz has won 71% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Carreno-Busta has won 100% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Alcaraz has converted 45.3% of breakpoint opportunities, and Carreno-Busta has converted 35.71% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
3
Rank
1
High
21
Age
R
Plays
2
Total0
0
Hard0
1
Clay0
1
Indoor0
0
Grass0
605
Rank
10
High
32
Age
R
Plays
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
Form
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
W
L
L
79% (251-68)
Career Total W/L
64% (560-316)
81% (21-5)
YTD W/L
0% (0-1)
$19,160,640
Career Prize Money
$9,946,935
1
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
Alcaraz VS Carreno-Busta H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| stats | Carlos Alcaraz | Pablo Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 2 | 0 |
| Sets Won | 4 | 0 |
| Games Won | 24 | 12 |
| Aces (Total) | 3 | 0 |
| DFs (Total) | 3 | 2 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:22:36 | 1:22:36 |
| 1st Serve % | 68% (69/102) | 65% (77/119) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 81% (56/69) | 58% (45/77) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 58% (19/33) | 50% (21/42) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 32% (7/22) | 20% (1/5) |
| Return Points W% | 45% (53/119) | 26% (27/102) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 100% (2/2) | 0% (0/2) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st set W, W | 100% (2/2) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st set W, L | 0% (2/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st set L, W | 0% (0/0) | 0% (2/0) |
Alcaraz VS Carreno-Busta H2h Matches played
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-3 6-4 |
Stats 
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
67%
(
43 of
64)
1st Serve %
56%
(
36 of
64)
1
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
1
77%
(
33 of
43)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
22 of
36)
48%
(
10 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
14 of
28)
25%
(
3 of
12)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
33%
(
21 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
28 of
64)
71
Total Points Won
57
|
||||
| 6-3 6-2 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
68%
(
26 of
38)
1st Serve %
75%
(
41 of
55)
2
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
88%
(
23 of
26)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
23 of
41)
75%
(
9 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
7 of
14)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
16%
(
6 of
38)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
25 of
55)
57
Total Points Won
36
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Carlos Alcaraz | Pablo Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 81% (21/5) | 0% (0/1) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 78% (51/14) | 25% (1/3) |
| Games Win/Loss | 61% (359/232) | 32% (11/23) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 87% (13/2) | 0% (0/0) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 73% (8/3) | 0% (0/1) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.26 | 0 |
| Aces Total | 75 | 0 |
| DFs per game | 0.14 | 0.29 |
| DFs Total | 41 | 5 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:44:50 | 1st Match |
| Avg Opp Rank | 133.38 | 560 |
| 1st Serve % | 67% (1124/1666) | 62% (79/128) |
| 1st Serve W% | 72% (808/1124) | 53% (42/79) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 58% (316/542) | 33% (16/49) |
| BPs Won% Total | 45% (100/222) | 36% (5/14) |
| Return Pts W% | 44% (824/1856) | 40% (44/111) |
| Slam W/L | 88% (7/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Masters W/L | 86% (12/2) | 0% (0/0) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 50% (2/2) | 0% (0/0) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 82% (14/17) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 88% (7/8) | 0% (0/1) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 64% (7/11) | 0% (0/0) |
| Deciding Set W% | 75% (3/4) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st set W, W | 95% (20/19) | 0% (1/0) |
| 1st set W, L | 5% (20/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| 1st set L, W | 40% (5/2) | 0% (0/0) |
Carlos Alcaraz Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R3 | 6-4 7-6(5) 6-3 | H2H | |||
| R2 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jesper De Jong
70%
(
78 of
112)
1st Serve %
58%
(
72 of
124)
2
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
7
64%
(
50 of
78)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
40 of
72)
50%
(
17 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
23 of
52)
44%
(
8 of
18)
Break Points Won
42%
(
5 of
12)
40%
(
45 of
112)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
61 of
124)
128
Total Points Won
108
|
6-3 6-4 2-6 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jeff Wolf
70%
(
47 of
67)
1st Serve %
56%
(
37 of
66)
5
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
70%
(
33 of
47)
1st Serve Won
46%
(
17 of
37)
65%
(
13 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
28%
(
8 of
29)
64%
(
9 of
14)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
31%
(
21 of
67)
Rtn Points Won
62%
(
41 of
66)
87
Total Points Won
46
|
6-1 6-2 6-1 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Andrey Rublev
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
74%
(
64 of
86)
1st Serve %
70%
(
57 of
81)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
80%
(
51 of
64)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
34 of
57)
45%
(
10 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
71%
(
17 of
24)
23%
(
3 of
13)
Break Points Won
13%
(
1 of
8)
29%
(
25 of
86)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
30 of
81)
91
Total Points Won
76
|
4-6 6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jan-Lennard Struff
63%
(
83 of
131)
1st Serve %
61%
(
63 of
103)
3
Aces
10
4
Double Faults
4
59%
(
49 of
83)
1st Serve Won
78%
(
49 of
63)
69%
(
33 of
48)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
17 of
40)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
20%
(
2 of
10)
37%
(
49 of
131)
Rtn Points Won
36%
(
37 of
103)
119
Total Points Won
115
|
6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(4) | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Thiago Seyboth Wild
67%
(
31 of
46)
1st Serve %
54%
(
33 of
61)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
5
87%
(
27 of
31)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
22 of
33)
47%
(
7 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
9 of
28)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
26%
(
12 of
46)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
30 of
61)
64
Total Points Won
43
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Alexander Shevchenko
68%
(
26 of
38)
1st Serve %
58%
(
32 of
55)
1
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
0
65%
(
17 of
26)
1st Serve Won
47%
(
15 of
32)
58%
(
7 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
22%
(
5 of
23)
64%
(
7 of
11)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
37%
(
14 of
38)
Rtn Points Won
64%
(
35 of
55)
59
Total Points Won
34
|
6-2 6-1 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
63%
(
35 of
56)
1st Serve %
58%
(
34 of
59)
4
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
3
77%
(
27 of
35)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
19 of
34)
48%
(
10 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
13 of
25)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
34%
(
19 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
27 of
59)
64
Total Points Won
51
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
64%
(
35 of
55)
1st Serve %
68%
(
40 of
59)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
0
74%
(
26 of
35)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
25 of
40)
55%
(
11 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
37%
(
7 of
19)
36%
(
4 of
11)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
33%
(
18 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
27 of
59)
64
Total Points Won
50
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Gael Monfils
81%
(
38 of
47)
1st Serve %
64%
(
30 of
47)
1
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
6
76%
(
29 of
38)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
20 of
30)
44%
(
4 of
9)
2nd Serve Won
18%
(
3 of
17)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
30%
(
14 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
24 of
47)
57
Total Points Won
37
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
view more
Pablo Carreno-Busta Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 |
Stats
Mariano Navone
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
69%
(
77 of
111)
1st Serve %
62%
(
79 of
128)
6
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
5
65%
(
50 of
77)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
42 of
79)
50%
(
17 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
16 of
49)
50%
(
11 of
22)
Break Points Won
36%
(
5 of
14)
40%
(
44 of
111)
Rtn Points Won
55%
(
70 of
128)
137
Total Points Won
102
|
5-7 6-1 6-3 6-0 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Mattia Bellucci
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
64%
(
45 of
70)
1st Serve %
75%
(
47 of
63)
4
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
76%
(
34 of
45)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
30 of
47)
72%
(
18 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
63%
(
10 of
16)
50%
(
1 of
2)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
26%
(
18 of
70)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
23 of
63)
75
Total Points Won
58
|
6-3 7-6(0) | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Arthur Cazaux
70%
(
74 of
105)
1st Serve %
60%
(
44 of
73)
2
Aces
12
5
Double Faults
1
68%
(
50 of
74)
1st Serve Won
77%
(
34 of
44)
32%
(
10 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
12 of
29)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
30%
(
3 of
10)
43%
(
45 of
105)
Rtn Points Won
37%
(
27 of
73)
87
Total Points Won
91
|
2-6 6-4 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Pedro Martinez Portero
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
69%
(
64 of
93)
1st Serve %
70%
(
43 of
61)
3
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
1
75%
(
48 of
64)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
31 of
43)
48%
(
14 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
9 of
18)
40%
(
2 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
13)
33%
(
31 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
34%
(
21 of
61)
83
Total Points Won
71
|
6-3 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Richard Gasquet
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
58%
(
49 of
84)
1st Serve %
62%
(
62 of
100)
13
Aces
10
2
Double Faults
5
73%
(
36 of
49)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
43 of
62)
49%
(
17 of
35)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
18 of
38)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
37%
(
31 of
84)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
39 of
100)
92
Total Points Won
92
|
2-6 7-6(2) 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Benjamin Bonzi
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
66%
(
117 of
176)
1st Serve %
65%
(
122 of
187)
15
Aces
12
2
Double Faults
2
76%
(
89 of
117)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
87 of
122)
56%
(
33 of
59)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
34 of
65)
19%
(
4 of
21)
Break Points Won
17%
(
3 of
18)
31%
(
54 of
176)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
66 of
187)
188
Total Points Won
175
|
4-6 4-6 7-6(5) 6-1 7-6(4) | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Pablo Carreno-Busta
Player
Pedro Cachin
63%
(
59 of
93)
1st Serve %
61%
(
59 of
97)
15
Aces
12
3
Double Faults
1
90%
(
53 of
59)
1st Serve Won
81%
(
48 of
59)
65%
(
22 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
18 of
38)
33%
(
2 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
19%
(
18 of
93)
Rtn Points Won
32%
(
31 of
97)
106
Total Points Won
84
|
7-6(4) 6-1 7-6(3) | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Soon-Woo Kwon
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
65%
(
57 of
88)
1st Serve %
61%
(
65 of
107)
11
Aces
10
3
Double Faults
6
77%
(
44 of
57)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
44 of
65)
52%
(
16 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
22 of
42)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
32%
(
28 of
88)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
41 of
107)
101
Total Points Won
94
|
3-6 6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| Rubber 2 | 5-7 6-3 7-6(5) | H2H | |||
| R3 |
Stats
Tommy Paul
Player
Pablo Carreno-Busta
67%
(
38 of
57)
1st Serve %
81%
(
52 of
64)
4
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
0
76%
(
29 of
38)
1st Serve Won
65%
(
34 of
52)
68%
(
13 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
25%
(
3 of
12)
25%
(
3 of
12)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
26%
(
15 of
57)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
27 of
64)
69
Total Points Won
52
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
view more
Alcaraz Vs Carreno-Busta Prediction H2H Images To Share
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Carlos Alcaraz
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